BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Western Illinois

Class: 1B Class Rank: 20 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  139.10

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2018 Away    L   136.66  23  26   1B  22 (  8-  5) Montana St             -2.44     -0.56                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L   125.40  14  34   1A 102 (  4-  8) Illinois              -13.70     -6.30                      
  3 09/15/2018 Home    W   139.33  31  27   1B  26 (  6-  5) Montana                 0.23      3.77                      
  4 09/29/2018 Home    W * 141.44  45  38   1B  37 (  4-  7) Youngstown St           2.34      4.66                      
  5 10/06/2018 Away    L * 134.25  16  33   1B   8 (  6-  5) Illinois St            -4.85    -12.15                      
  6 10/13/2018 Home    L * 139.04   7  34   1B   1 ( 14-  0) North Dakota St        -0.06    -26.94                      
  7 10/20/2018 Away    W * 146.70  31  14   1B  39 (  4-  7) Missouri St             7.60      9.40                      
  8 10/27/2018 Home    W * 164.02  37  17   1B  10 (  7-  6) Northern Iowa          24.91     -4.91                      
  9 11/03/2018 Away    W * 137.66  34  31   1B  36 (  2-  9) Southern Illinois      -1.44      4.44                      
 10 11/10/2018 Away    L * 132.56  12  17   1B  32 (  4-  7) South Dakota           -6.55      1.55                      
 11 11/17/2018 Home    L * 133.07  13  15   1B  23 (  7-  4) Indiana St             -6.03      4.03                      
      Averages             139.10  23.9 26.0

Best game:  164.02 = 20 point win over Northern Iowa
Worst game: 125.40 = 20 point loss to Illinois
Team stdev:   9.91